Dr Andy Xie , renowned Chinese economist, shared his insights on how the Evergrande debt crisis could force China’s hand on reforming government, in his recent SCMP article. He argued that an Evergrande collapse would be unlikely to bring down China’s financial system, but unresolved problems could still threaten social stability. Bloated government, dependence on […]
Tag Archives: Global Economy
06
Oct
Oct
In his recent Financial Times article, Dr Andy Xie, renowned Chinese economist, opined that politics trumps money in Chinese markets and even Beijing may not know whether it will be comfortable with Big Tech in the future and in what form. Perhaps the biggest threat to Beijing is that big internet companies may weaken one-party […]
Asia, China, Speakers
Dr Andy Xie: Beijing’s ‘common prosperity’ push shows how its China model is taking shape
15
Sep
Sep
In a recent SCMP article, Dr Andy Xie discussed ‘common prosperity’ in China, the future of a socialist market economy and more. Here is an excerpt: The Chinese leadership is talking about common prosperity as a policy driver. This could be a cue for those with great wealth to recycle it back into society, the […]
Asia, China, Speakers
Dr Andy Xie: Inflation is coming, and the world economy’s fate depends on the Fed
07
Jun
Jun
In his recent SCMP article, Dr Andy Xie, renowned Chinese economist, opined that inflation is coming, and the world economy’s fate depends on the Fed. Automation has contained China’s manufacturing costs. But as the property bubble peaks, capital costs could rise. China’s manufacturing may have to raise prices. While the world expects China’s rising costs […]
14
Apr
Apr
In his most recent SCMP article, Dr Andy Xie discussed the property market bubble and why he thinks that China is cooling and not deflating it. Here are some highlights: The property market isn’t liquid like the stock market. The clampdown on liquidity has hit the equity market first, because it is easier to meet […]
Asia, China, Speakers
Dr Geoff Raby’s New Book: China’s Grand Strategy and Australia’s Future in the New Global Order
05
Apr
Apr
Dr Geoff Raby was recently interviewed about his new book, ‘China’s Grand Strategy and Australia’s Future in the New Global Order’. Dr Raby was Australia’s ambassador to China (2007–11); ambassador to APEC (2003–5); and ambassador to the World Trade Organization (1998–2001). He was awarded the Order of Australia in 2019 for services to Australia–China relations […]
Asia, China, Speakers
Dr Andy Xie: Population decline could end China’s civilisation as we know it. When will Beijing wake up to the crisis?
15
Mar
Mar
In a recent SCMP article, Dr Andy Xie talked about population decline and what this means for China’s civilisation. The seeds of the crisis were sown by a development strategy that relied on cheap, plentiful migrant workers to power manufacturing and construction Now, their children don’t want to be like them – they would rather surf […]
Asia, China, Insights, Speakers
Dr Andy Xie: Why the GameStop stock frenzy is likely to end in financial crisis
15
Feb
Feb
In his recent SCMP article, renowned Chinese economist Dr Andy Xie shared insights on the GameStop stock frenzy. The drama unfolding around GameStop is a tale of the internet levelling the playing field between at-home retail investors and Wall Street. The US stock market may become as retail dominated, and as volatile, as the Chinese […]
09
Feb
Feb
Dr Andy Xie, renowned economist, opined that despite the Fed’s best efforts, such asset bubbles cannot be sustained. Could political instability in the US be the shock that deflates the bubbles? A bubble usually ends with a shock, such as an accounting scandal or rising interest rates. So much helicopter money may indeed lead to […]
Asia, China, Speakers
Dr Andy Xie: China joins other governments in seeking the dark side of big tech. Or has it?
14
Jan
Jan
Dr Andy Xie, renowned economist, in his recent SCMP article, shared that the world is just waking up to the reality that tech businesses want to make money above anything else, like other companies. However, in China, it’s government backing that has allowed tech monopolies to develop and thrive in the first place. Is China […]
Asia, Speakers
Harry G. Broadman: RCEP’s Birth Is Oversold As The World’s Largest New Free-Trade Area
23
Dec
Dec
Harry G. Broadman, in his recent Forbes article opined that the RCEP’s birth is oversold as the world’s largest new free-trade area. While it certainly sends an uplifting signal in the midst of an otherwise deeply gloomy global economic period as the Covid-19 pandemic continues to constrain world trade flows and the functioning of markets, […]
Asia, China, Insights, Media, Speakers
Dr Andy Xie: How property-hungry Chinese millennials and shadow banking could fuel a financial crisis
15
Dec
Dec
Millennials in China are borrowing heavily to invest in property, counting on the government to keep property prices buoyant. However, the rise of shadow banking means the government lacks the levers it has historically pulled to prevent a debt crisis. Dr Andy Xie worries that these trends will fuel a financial crisis. One critical element […]
Asia, China, Speakers
Dr Shirley Yu Discussed China Imports and Exports Figures and the Promising Recovery of the Chinese Economy
16
Nov
Nov
Dr Shirley Yu, Chinese economist, in her recent vlog, shared that China’s September imports & exports figures January to September, have surged compared to 2019, respectively by 13.2% and 9.9%. The data tells the story of Chinese economy’s post COVID-19 recovery and that of the global economy’s shifting focus. Noticeably, COVID-19 has deeply disrupted the […]
Asia, China, Speakers
Dr Andy Xie: How a Joe Biden presidency would offer US-China relations a brief window of hope
04
Nov
Nov
Dr Andy Xie, renowned Chinese economist, opined that if Biden is elected, he will likely roll back tariffs and give China a short respite. To reset ties, however, Beijing needs to offer concrete action on tackling climate change and market reciprocity as a down payment. Here are some highlights: If Biden does win, it would […]
Asia, China, Insights, Media, Speakers
Dr Andy Xie SCMP Article: The real economic reforms China needs to become less dependent on exports
05
Oct
Oct
In a recent SCMP article, Dr Andy Xie discussed China’s slowing economy and the need to implement reforms to become less dependent on exports. To find a way out of China’s political economy dilemma, there needs to be a massive rise in efficiency. If China shifts from small township urbanisation to megacity development, the money can […]
Asia, China, Media, News, Speakers
Dr Andy Xie SCMP article: The US-China technology war is about to burst the tech bubble
14
Sep
Sep
In his recent article published in SCMP, Dr Andy Xie, renowned economist, warned that the US-China technology war is about to burst the tech bubble. China is an economy that overinvests, while the US overconsumes: a marriage of convenience allowed these two one-legged individuals to lean on each other and keep their balance. But as […]